What is the Least Rare Myachi?

by Crazy Ivan


I'm actually surprised by how often I get asked this question.

I guess I shouldn't be since it's sort of a natural question to follow up "what is the rarest Myachi?" and I get that question all the time.  But when people ask me which Myachi is rarest, I can actually kind of give them an answer, but I never really know how to answer the opposite.

See, that's actually a pretty complicated question.  When somebody asks me which Myachi is least rare, what they really want to know is which is the least valued by collectors.  But there is no one Myachi that could occupy that position.

Granted, being the least valuable Myachi is like owning
the smallest yacht at the club... it's still a yacht.

Obviously, whichever Myachis came out most recently will be the "least rare".  At the time of this writing, the least rare sacks are the 5.0 series and that will change whenever we sell out of those.  Other contenders for "least rare" would be the NBA2 series and the NYC series, since most of those are still available for sale.

But technically none of those are the "least rare" Myachi.  The least rare sack would be the one that we made the most of.

Now, when we figure up the value of a Myachi, the year it was made is the biggest factor.  A Myachi that was made in small numbers yesterday is not as valued as a Myachi that was made in much larger numbers eight years ago.  When you look at the Trade Values on the Sackthology some of the numbers can really leave you scratching your head.  Some of the most valuable collectors items are actually far more numerous than commons.

Take as your example the Sobe 2002.  While it is a rather valued collectable Myachi, it is technically the "least rare" Myachi ever made.  We actually made 100,000 of those suckers so even now some 7.5% of every Myachi ever made was a Sobe 2002.

As you can see on this random graph that came up
when I Googled "pie chart", 33% is significantly larger than 10%

Even if we accept that over the past 9 years half of those were lost or destroyed there would still be more Sobe 2002s around than any other Myachi.  The next largest single run was the Dodge back in 2007 and we only made 49,000 of those.

In truth, though, far more than half of those Myachis have disappeared from the collectors market.  It would be far easier to find, say, a CMC even though there are only 150 of those in the world.  Even if the Sobe 2002 is technically the "least rare", it is far from the "least valuable".

But is there really a "least valuable" Myachi?

In a sense, there is.  Even though every Myachi in a particular series is just as rare as every other Myachi, some fabrics will sell out really quickly, making them harder to find later.  When the 5.0 series came out, we all predicted that the Hounds Tooth would be the fastest seller and so far it looks like we were right.  That means that the Hounds Tooth will disappear from the collector's market first and it will become the "rarest" or "most valuable" sack in the 5.0 series.

So if there's a "most valuable" in a series, it stands to reason that there would also be a "least valuable".  One might think that it would be the least popular sack in the series, since that one will be available for purchase longer than the others.  But the real answer is a bit more complicated than that.

You see, in the short term, the slowest seller will be the least valuable sack in the series, but in time it will rise in value.  These sacks will be traded out of collections faster and fewer and fewer collectors will actually have them.  A few weeks after a series sells out, the least popular sack will be the least valuable. But a few years after a series sells out, the least popular might be one of the hardest to find.

In truth, the only way you could know which Myachi in a particular series is the "least valuable" would be with a time machine.

And I'm guessing there are way cooler things you'd do with a time machine.

You'd have to go ahead five or ten years and find out which ones were still around and which weren't.  If you'd tried to predict the most valuable Myachi in the 1.0 series back in 2004, I don't think anybody would have put their money on the "Juice", but there is little question now that it is the hardest one to find.